Trident is our flagship research product which generates signals predicting (on a standalone basis) a large change in prices (volatility) over a 3-day period (but customizable from 1-30+ days), 1 day in advance.
There are over 600 publicly posted signals originating from the Trident algorithm since January 2022 on 30+ commodity futures. We assessed the price volatility over a 3-day period following the signal day. See the “Summary” tab for covered markets and the table below for a measure of the volatility predictor performance. Note that we added four new commodities recently (Soybean Meal, Soybean Oil, RBOB Gasoline and Heating Oil).
Summary Performance in Favorable Directions (03/01/2024)
The 3.11% average favorable price change is 3.7X greater than the 0.83% average adverse price change and the max favorable price change is over 4X greater than the max adverse price change. The Trident algorithm, therefore, has been proven to provide a significant “edge” in trading which enables an experienced trader to generate a strong alpha or to hedge pre-existing positions. Also, we observed that the average length of time to realize the peak favorable direction change was over 2 days. This holding period also creates a much larger and deeper liquidity horizon – an important consideration for managing large allocations against the Trident algorithm vs short term/day trades.
Contact us for a research paper containing more details on methodology, deeper data analysis etc.
All our algorithms have the flexibility to allow users to manage the trades with full discretion (“Hands On”), with the assistance of a broker (“Hand On with Broker Assist”), or with minimal discretion using a Letter of Direction. (“Hands Off”). New algorithms are always in the research pipeline. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current Offering(s) | The TRIDENT algorithm, launched in 2022, is our longest running algorithm in continuous production. The TRIDENT family of algorithms generates signals predicting a significant change in prices (volatility) over the next 72 hours. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Account Type Options | There are 3 Account Type Options available with TRIDENT.
NOTE: ALGORETURNS DOES NOT OFFER ANY TRADING ASSISTANCE AS WE ARE STRICTLY A RESEARCH SHOP. ALSO, THE CLIENT AND BROKER DETERMINE AND AGREE TO ALL TRANSACTION FEES OTHER THAN THE TRIDENT MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION FEE. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade and Risk Management | Direction specific with time based trade entry suggestion. Suggested initial stop loss as an extreme risk loss. Risk Management instructions generated by TRIDENT algorithm with an oversight by AlgoReturns management. Instructions are emailed to broker. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Suggested Capital | CME Futures: USD 75,000 (for 1 lot and multiples thereof) US ETF: USD 50,000 (for 1 lot and multiples thereof) |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pricing | A free trial is offered to most users.
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Coverage |
|
The Table below shows a sample of the Trident Signal Menu email that will be delivered to self-directed and broker assisted clients at approximately 9:00 PM eastern every trading day. The email includes a table that has suggestions for trade entry, trade direction, as well as an initial risk stop. Clients are not beholden to the suggestion and can trade completely at their discretion.
Note: Product layout and contents are subject to change without prior notice
# | MARKET | DATE | DESCRIPTION | AVG.DAILY RANGE | SIGNAL | FAVORED DIRECTION | FAVORED STRATEGY |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FUTURES | 2024-08-23 | Euro FX-SEP-U-24 | 0.0060 | Active | LONG | Suggested Long Entry at 09:45ET; Suggested Risk Stop: 1.037191 |
2 | ETFs | 2024-08-23 | Utilities Sector SPDR ETF | 1.0550 | Active | LONG | Suggested Long Entry at 09:45ET; Suggested Risk Stop: 68.53 |
The following table is provided as documentation and reference for the trades executed for LOD accounts starting in January 2022. It is not intended to be used as a performance measure or an investment track record. Contents are not certified to be accurate and are subject to data entry errors. In addition, the table is not reflective of Self-Directed and Broker Assisted account performance potential. Self-Directed and Broker Assisted accounts are not beholden to the algorithmic suggestions regarding time of trade, size of trade, active tickers traded, targets, stops etc. The results, therefore, can be materially different than those presented in the table.
A total round-trip transaction cost estimate of $25 is incorporated into the numbers. We believe these are conservative estimates of ‘all-in’ trading costs and friction including but not restricted to proxy slippage, broker commission, exchange and settlement fees. Actual transaction costs will be agreed upon with the broker. Account balance has also been charged with a monthly subscription fee of $179 to reflect our fees. Note that the monthly subscription fees and transactions costs are tax deductible, therefore acting as a tax shield on the total, after-tax return.
Hypothetical performance is shown on a fully-funded basis i.e. an account size of $100K means that the account is fully-funded with $100K in the futures account. It does not mean a leveraged account where an account is partially-funded with the suggested capital. Applying popular leverage ratios (such as 1.5x,1.3x) can materially affect investment performance. Hypothetical balance is not the same as end of day balance on your brokerage statement. The table below reflects current signals from January, 2022 and is expected to be refreshed with the cumulative trades regularly.
Management Commentary & Discussion
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE: HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.
DOWNLOAD IN CSV FORMAT
TX_ID | DATE | MARKET | SECTOR | FUTURE | POSITION | ENTRY | #1 EXIT | #2 EXIT | GROSS PNL | TX COST ($ RT) | 100K BALANCE (AFTER $179/month LEASE FEE) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
696 | 11/19/2024 | FUTURES | CURRENCIES | EURO (6E) | SHORT | 1.0597 | 1.043 | 0 | 2,087.50 | 25 | 120,766.06 |
695 | 11/15/2024 | FUTURES | TREASURIES | 10 YEAR (ZN) | SHORT | 109.0312 | 109.87 | 0 | -838.8 | 25 | 118,703.56 |
694 | 11/12/2024 | FUTURES | EQUITY INDEX | NASDAQ (NQ) | LONG | 21213.25 | 20844 | 0 | -7,385.00 | 25 | 119,567.36 |
693 | 11/8/2024 | FUTURES | ENERGY | CRUDE OIL (CL) | LONG | 70.93 | 69.19 | 0 | -1,740.00 | 25 | 126,977.36 |
692 | 11/7/2024 | FUTURES | ENERGY | NAT GAS (NG) | SHORT | 2.678 | 2.767 | 0 | -890 | 25 | 128,742.36 |
691 | 11/7/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | WHEAT (ZW) | SHORT | 5.685 | 5.45 | 0 | 1,175.00 | 25 | 129,657.36 |
690 | 11/7/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | CORN (ZC) | LONG | 4.245 | 4.27 | 0 | 125 | 25 | 128,507.36 |
689 | 10/25/2024 | FUTURES | ENERGY | NAT GAS (NG) | SHORT | 3.074 | 2.862 | 0 | 2,120.00 | 25 | 128,407.36 |
688 | 10/25/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | GOLD (GC) | LONG | 2742.6 | 2787 | 0 | 4,440.00 | 25 | 126,312.36 |
687 | 10/23/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | COPPER (HG) | SHORT | 4.334 | 4.3375 | 0 | -87.5 | 25 | 121,897.36 |
686 | 10/18/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | SILVER (SI) | LONG | 32.68 | 34.38 | 0 | 8,500.00 | 25 | 122,009.86 |
685 | 10/14/2024 | FUTURES | CURRENCIES | JAP YEN (6J) | SHORT | 0.6734 | 0.6584 | 0 | 1,875.00 | 25 | 113,534.86 |
684 | 10/9/2024 | FUTURES | TREASURIES | 10 YEAR (ZN) | SHORT | 112.2 | 111.0781 | 0 | 1,121.90 | 25 | 111,684.86 |
683 | 10/9/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | WHEAT (ZW) | LONG | 5.9825 | 5.78 | 0 | -1,012.50 | 25 | 110,587.96 |
682 | 10/9/2024 | FUTURES | CURRENCIES | EURO (6E) | SHORT | 1.0989 | 1.0857 | 0 | 1,650.00 | 25 | 111,625.46 |
681 | 10/9/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | CORN (ZC) | LONG | 4.2175 | 4.0725 | 0 | -725 | 25 | 110,000.46 |
680 | 10/8/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | COPPER (HG) | LONG | 4.475 | 4.3435 | 0 | -3,287.50 | 25 | 110,750.46 |
679 | 10/4/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | GOLD (GC) | LONG | 2671.71 | 2727.8 | 0 | 5,609.00 | 25 | 114,062.96 |
678 | 10/4/2024 | FUTURES | EQUITY INDEX | NASDAQ (NQ) | LONG | 20201 | 20210 | 0 | 180 | 25 | 108,478.96 |
677 | 10/3/2024 | FUTURES | EQUITY INDEX | MINI S&P 500 (ES) | LONG | 5736.25 | 5909 | 0 | 8,637.50 | 25 | 108,323.96 |
676 | 10/3/2024 | FUTURES | ENERGY | NAT GAS (NG) | LONG | 2.966 | 2.623 | 0 | -3,430.00 | 25 | 99,711.46 |
675 | 9/30/2024 | FUTURES | EQUITY INDEX | XLP (XLP) | LONG | 83.03 | 80.62 | 0 | -2.41 | 25 | 103,345.46 |
674 | 9/30/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | SILVER (SI) | LONG | 31.325 | 32.27 | 0 | 4,725.00 | 25 | 103,372.87 |
673 | 9/26/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | WHEAT (ZW) | LONG | 5.915 | 6.1275 | 0 | 1,062.50 | 25 | 98,672.87 |
672 | 9/25/2024 | FUTURES | ENERGY | NAT GAS (NG) | LONG | 2.828 | 2.89 | 0 | 620 | 25 | 97,635.37 |
671 | 9/19/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | COPPER (HG) | LONG | 4.346 | 4.508 | 0 | 4,050.00 | 25 | 97,040.37 |
670 | 9/18/2024 | FUTURES | METALS | SILVER (SI) | LONG | 30.86 | 31.525 | 0 | 3,325.00 | 25 | 93,015.37 |
669 | 9/18/2024 | FUTURES | CURRENCIES | EURO (6E) | LONG | 1.1179 | 1.1083 | 0 | -1,200.00 | 25 | 89,715.37 |
668 | 9/18/2024 | FUTURES | CURRENCIES | JAP YEN (6J) | LONG | 0.7136 | 0.7019 | 0 | -1,462.50 | 25 | 90,940.37 |
667 | 9/17/2024 | FUTURES | AGRICULTURAL | SOYBEAN (ZS) | LONG | 10.08 | 10.5425 | 0 | 2,312.50 | 25 | 92,427.87 |
The following is a list of approved brokers for the AlgoReturns:
Name | Website | Contact | |
---|---|---|---|
SRB Capital | www.srbcapital.com | Herb Kral (herb@srbcapital.com) (+1-630-841-3152) |
|
RJO Futures | rjofutures.rjobrien.com | Mike Sabo (msabo@rjobrien.com) (+1-312-373-5248) |
|
Cannon Trading | www.cannontrading.com | John Thorpe (john@cannontrading.com) (+1-310-858-6113) |
|
Dorman Trading | www.dormantrading.com | Bill Borkowski (bb@dormantrading.com) |
|
LightHouse Wealth Partners, Inc (ETFs only) | lighthouseinvest.io | Estelle Zhang (https://lighthouseinvest.io/) |
Legal Disclaimer: This information presented on this website is intended, among other things, to present a general outline of Algo Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries – VAREA LLC and AlgoReturns LLC collectively called the “Company”. The contents are not to be reproduced or distributed to the public or to the press. The content of this website is proprietary information of the Company. It is not intended to be distributed to any third party without the written consent of the Company. The material in this website has been prepared by the Company and is general background information about the Companies current activities. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information in this website, including forecast financial information, should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial products or instruments and does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk. Trading futures contracts is not appropriate for all investors and the risks of futures trading can be substantial. You should carefully consider whether futures trading is right for you considering your particular circumstance and financial resources. Past performance is not indicative of future results. By acknowledging this statement and contracting for the services provided by the Company, you acknowledge that you have not sought advice from the Company regarding the appropriateness of futures trading for you, and the Company has not provided any such advice to you.
THIS IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES. Information contained herein is not an offer to sell securities or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities, nor shall there be any offer of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction, including without limitation applicable federal or state laws. Certain information set forth in this website may contain “forward-looking information”, including “future-oriented financial information” and “financial outlook”, under applicable securities laws (collectively referred to herein as forward-looking statements). These statements are not guarantees of future performance and undue reliance should not be placed on them. Such forward-looking statements necessarily involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from any projections of future performance or result expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although forward-looking statements contained in this website are based upon what management of the Company believes are reasonable assumptions, there can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements if circumstances or management’s estimates or opinions should change except as required by applicable securities laws. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Not a member of NFA. Please read NFA’s Rule 2-29 pertaining to communication with public and promotional material.
LEGAL DISCLAIMER:
It is the nature of commodity and securities trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. Commodity trading involves a certain degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Information contained herein is not an offer to sell securities or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities, nor shall there be any offer of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction, including without limitation applicable federal or state laws. Not a member of NFA. Please read NFA’s Rule 2-29 pertaining to communication with public and promotional material.